This is a Sitrec reconstruction of the witness's stated viewpoint at the stated time. Witness position, facing, elevation angle, terrain, sky bodies, and ADS-B aircraft are placed deterministically from case fields. The described object itself is NOT rendered (perception is not measurable pose). Composed 2026-05-16T03:48:13Z.
Open scene full-screen · sitch md5: 83e989cffb40f6e5dfe35b4fa5d7a347
The Evidence Score is -0.17 (Leans-Mundane). 5 rule(s) contributed, with the net weight indicating that one or more conventional explanations remain plausible for this case.
| Rule | Bucket | Verdict | Raw | Applied | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WX-CLOUD-01 | weather | indeterminate | — | — | informational |
| WX-WIND-01 | weather | eliminated | +0.050 | +0.050 | full |
| AC-DENSITY-01 | aircraft | flagged | -0.120 | -0.120 | full |
| SAT-OVER-01 | satellites | indeterminate | — | — | informational |
| SAT-LOS-01 | satellites | no_data | — | — | informational |
| CEL-AVAIL-00 | celestial | no_data | — | — | informational |
| OBS-COLOR-01 | observation | flagged | -0.050 | -0.050 | full |
| CORR-01 | corroboration | passed | +0.050 | +0.050 | full |
| GEO-DIST-01 | geometry | indeterminate | — | — | informational |
| GEO-WITNESS-01 | geometry | flagged | -0.100 | -0.100 | full |
| PROV-01 | provenance | passed | — | — | informational |
| FP-01 | fingerprint | indeterminate | — | — | informational |
| EXC-01 | exclusion | passed | — | — | informational |
| EXC-02 | exclusion | flagged | — | — | informational |
| AI-01 | ai_signals | passed | — | — | informational:ai_signals |
| AI-02 | ai_signals | no_data | — | — | informational:ai_signals |
| AI-03 | ai_signals | passed | — | — | informational:ai_signals |
| AI-04 | ai_signals | passed | — | — | informational:ai_signals |
| AI-05 | ai_signals | no_data | — | — | informational:ai_signals |
Score range [-1, +1]. Negative = conventional explanations plausible; positive = conventional explanations collectively weakened. Score is informational only. It does not identify or characterise the phenomenon. Score methodology →
Each rule below shows its inputs, the data source queried, the result, and the verdict. Every rule has a stable ID so this case can be cited and replayed as the methodology evolves.
{
"observed_at": "2026-05-15 23:36",
"ok": true,
"provider": "Visual Crossing historical",
"station_or_grid": "nearest-grid"
}
{
"cloud_cover_pct": 45.0
}
{
"mixed": true
}
{
"observed_at": "2026-05-15 23:36",
"ok": true,
"provider": "Visual Crossing historical",
"station_or_grid": "nearest-grid"
}
{
"wind_mph": 5.6
}
{
"calm": true
}
{
"note": "ADS-B here is a live snapshot at report intake, not historical playback. Historical ADS-B backfill is planned (see changelog 0.5.0).",
"ok": true,
"provider": "ADS-B live snapshot (50 nm radius, current)"
}
{
"count": 98,
"radius_nm": 50
}
{
"aircraft_nearby": 98,
"sample": [
"EIN9PM@0.0ft",
"FFT1292@0.0ft",
"UAL395@0.0ft",
"N92DV@0.0ft",
"N29HT@7500.0ft",
"UAL1651@8075.0ft",
"UAL2207@9750.0ft",
"N65860@5950.0ft",
"EJA146@45000.0ft",
"SKW5861@0.0ft"
]
}
{
"note": "Live snapshot at report intake, not historical propagation. TLE-based historical reconstruction is a planned upgrade.",
"ok": true,
"provider": "N2YO /above endpoint (0-70 degrees elevation, 18 category)"
}
{
"elevation_band_deg": "0-70"
}
{
"count": 7,
"notable_sample": [
"OSCAR 7",
"OSCAR 8",
"SAUDISAT 1B",
"CUBESAT XI-IV",
"ELEKTRO-L",
"WNISAT 1",
"TOMORROW-R2"
]
}
{
"note": "TLE age 3399.9h; catalog ?",
"ok": false,
"provider": "CelesTrak GP (stations + visual) via sgp4"
}
{
"lat": 40.0,
"lon": -105.0,
"reported_az_deg": 0,
"reported_el_deg": 0.0,
"tolerances": null,
"utc": "2026-05-15T23:36:00"
}
{
"illumination": null,
"match_count": null,
"rule_hash": null,
"satellites_above_horizon": null,
"top_candidates": []
}
{
"computed_at_utc": null,
"ok": false,
"provider": "ephem (PyEphem) local computation"
}
{
"timezone": ""
}
{
"ran": false
}
{
"ok": true,
"provider": "witness report"
}
{
"color": "white"
}
{
"matches_known_signature": true
}
{
"ok": true,
"provider": "trigonometric calc"
}
{
"elevation_angle_deg": 0.0,
"observer_elev_ft": 0.0
}
{
"distance_vs_altitude_table": [
{
"altitude_ft": 0,
"distance_km": 5
},
{
"altitude_ft": 0,
"distance_km": 10
},
{
"altitude_ft": 0,
"distance_km": 25
},
{
"altitude_ft": 0,
"distance_km": 50
},
{
"altitude_ft": 0,
"distance_km": 100
}
]
}
{
"ok": true,
"provider": "witness report + Hermes case data"
}
{
"camera_calibrated": false,
"corroborated": false,
"exif_gps_present": false,
"witness_geometry_present": false
}
{
"excuses": {
"camera_calibrated": false,
"corroborated": false,
"exif_gps": false
},
"geometry_present": false
}
{
"note": "scanned 11 cases",
"ok": true,
"provider": "Hermes native case store"
}
{
"lat": 40.0,
"lon": -105.0,
"tolerances": {
"radius_km": 50.0,
"window_min": 30
},
"when_utc": "2026-05-15T23:36:00"
}
{
"cluster_size": 0,
"matches": [],
"nearest_km": null,
"nearest_minutes": null,
"rule_hash": "FECF0B60205385B5"
}
{
"ok": true,
"provider": "Hermes media pipeline"
}
{
"provenance_present": true
}
{
"c2pa_present": false,
"exif_gps_present": false,
"file_size_bytes": 156,
"mime_type": "image/jpeg",
"non_null_fields": [
"ai_signals",
"bitrate_kbps",
"c2pa",
"codec",
"container",
"duration_seconds",
"exif",
"file_size_bytes",
"fingerprint",
"mime_type",
"reencode_signals",
"sha256",
"upload_timestamp"
],
"present": true,
"sha256": "00fc7f9a0402e69b993da2e4658b6f97d61320c2d5f00ba86acd8a91f96982a9"
}
{
"ok": true,
"provider": "Hermes fingerprint pipeline"
}
{
"fingerprint_present": true
}
{
"fingerprint_error": "PIL open failed: cannot identify image file \u0027/opt/hermes/media/HERMES-20260515-2336/original/00fc7f9a0402e69b993da2e4658b6f97d61320c2d5f00ba86acd8a91f96982a9.jpg\u0027",
"fingerprint_version": "1.0.0",
"frame_count": 0,
"is_video": false,
"present": true
}
{
"ok": true,
"provider": "Hermes exclusion engine"
}
{
"exclusion_results_present": true
}
{
"catalogs_errored": [
"adsb",
"weather"
],
"catalogs_queried": [
"astronomical",
"satellites"
],
"engine_version": "1.0.0",
"envelope_center": {
"lat": 40.0,
"lon": -105.0
},
"fov_half_angle_deg": 90,
"location_source": "witness_area",
"ran": true,
"timestamp_source": "submitted",
"total_matches": 552
}
{
"ok": true,
"provider": "Hermes exclusion engine"
}
{
"total_matches": 552
}
{
"best_explanation": {
"catalog": "satellites",
"confidence_note": "az 34\u00b0, el 8\u00b0, 1794 km, sunlit, 35.3\u00b0 from reported bearing; Starlink satellite \u2014 common visual false-positive as slow-moving train",
"object": "STARLINK-1231"
},
"catalogs_summary": {
"adsb": 0,
"astronomical": 5,
"satellites": 547,
"weather": 0
},
"total_matches": 552
}
{
"ok": true,
"provider": "Hermes AI-provenance pipeline"
}
{
"ai_signals_present": true
}
{
"panel_version": "1.0.0",
"ran": true,
"signals_ran": [
"c2pa",
"codec_forensics",
"shadow_check"
]
}
{
"ok": true,
"provider": "c2pa-python / Content Credentials"
}
{
"c2pa_present": false,
"c2pa_valid": null
}
{
"manifest": null,
"present": false,
"valid": null
}
{
"ok": true,
"provider": "Hermes codec forensics (pure provenance)"
}
{
"provenance_codec_fields": [
"software_tag_suspicious",
"bitrate_suspicious",
"container_codec_mismatch",
"gop_anomaly",
"_forensics_version"
]
}
{
"detail": {},
"forensics_version": "1.0.0",
"signals_fired": []
}
{
"ok": true,
"provider": "Skyfield + DE421 ephemeris"
}
{
"location_source": "witness_area",
"timestamp_source": "submitted"
}
{
"daytime": true,
"expected_sun_azimuth_deg": 272.73,
"expected_sun_elevation_deg": 27.21,
"ran": true,
"ran_reason": null,
"sun_above_horizon": true,
"timestamp_utc": "2026-05-15T23:36:25.721495Z"
}
{
"ok": false,
"provider": "Hermes PRNU pipeline (numpy/Pillow)"
}
{
"camera_prnu_available": false
}
{
"correlation": null,
"match": null,
"prnu_fingerprint_sha256": null,
"ran": false,
"ran_reason": "no camera record",
"threshold_correlation": 0.05
}